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The 2016 United States Senate election in New York was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New York, concurrently with the presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries took place on June 28. This was the last time any U.S. Senate candidate in New York won a general election by more than 35 percentage points.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Chuck Schumer won re-election to a fourth term in office.[1] This was considered by many polling aggregate groups to be one of the safest Democratic seats in the nation for this cycle. The prediction turned out to be correct, with Schumer winning around 71% of the vote and all but five of the state’s 62 counties: Hamilton, Orleans, Wyoming, Allegany and Steuben.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Third-party and independent candidates

Libertarian Party

  • Alex Merced, activist[6]

Green Party

  • Robin Laverne Wilson[7]

Conservative Party

General election

Debates

Dates Location Schumer Long Link
October 30, 2016 Schenectady, New York Participant Participant [9]

Endorsements

Chuck Schumer
U.S. senators
Media companies

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Safe D November 2, 2016
Sabato’s Crystal Ball[13] Safe D November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[14] Safe D November 3, 2016
Daily Kos[15] Safe D November 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics[16] Safe D November 7, 2016

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Chuck
Schumer (D) 		Wendy
Long (R) 		Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey[17] November 1–7, 2016 2,208 ± 4.6% 71% 25% — 4%
SurveyMonkey[18] October 31–November 6, 2016 2,132 ± 4.6% 71% 25% — 4%
Siena College[19] November 3–4, 2016 617 ± 4.5% 67% 25% — 8%
SurveyMonkey[20] October 28–November 3, 2016 1,949 ± 4.6% 71% 26% — 3%
SurveyMonkey[21] October 27–November 2, 2016 1,755 ± 4.6% 70% 26% — 4%
SurveyMonkey[22] October 26–November 1, 2016 1,645 ± 4.6% 70% 27% — 3%
SurveyMonkey[23] October 25–31, 2016 1,734 ± 4.6% 68% 28% — 4%
Siena College[24] October 13–17, 2016 611 ± 4.6% 66% 27% 1% 6%
NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist[25] September 21–23, 2016 676 ± 3.8% 70% 24% 1% 6%
Siena College[26] September 11–15, 2016 600 ± 5.0% 69% 23% — 8%
Emerson College[27] August 28–30, 2016 800 ± 3.4% 60% 23% 4% 12%
Siena College[28] August 7–10, 2016 717 ± 4.3% 63% 24% — 13%
Quinnipiac University[29] July 13–17, 2016 1,104 ± 3.0% 60% 28% 1% 8%
Siena College[30] June 22–28, 2016 803 ± 4.0% 66% 23% — 11%
Siena College[31] May 22–26, 2016 825 ± 3.9% 64% 22% — 14%
Siena College[32] April 24–27, 2016 802 ± 4.1% 64% 24% — 12%
Public Policy Polling[33] April 7–10, 2016 1,403 ± 2.6% 55% 23% — 22%
Quinnipiac University[34] March 22–29, 2016 1,667 ± 2.4% 63% 24% — 11%

Results

United States Senate election in New York, 2016 [35]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Chuck Schumer 4,784,218 64.72% +6.25%
Working Families Chuck Schumer 241,672 3.27% −0.73%
Independence Chuck Schumer 150,654 2.04% −1.82%
Women’s Equality Chuck Schumer 45,401 0.61% N/A
Total Chuck Schumer (incumbent) 5,221,945 70.64% +4.31%
Republican Wendy Long 1,723,920 23.32% −3.65%
Conservative Wendy Long 267,622 3.62% −1.62%
Reform Wendy Long 17,813 0.24% N/A
Total Wendy Long 2,009,355 27.18% −5.03%
Green Robin Laverne Wilson 113,413 1.53% +0.61%
Libertarian Alex Merced 48,120 0.65% +0.11%
Total votes 7,392,833 100.0% N/A
Democratic hold

Results by county

County Chuck Schumer
Democratic 		Wendy Long
Republican 		Various candidates Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Albany 98,287 72.5% 33,755 24.9% 3,606 2.7% 64,532 47.6% 135,648
Allegany 7,881 44.1% 9,614 53.8% 376 2.0% −1,733 −9.7% 17,871
Bronx 344,113 91.6% 25,905 6.9% 5,723 1.6% 318,208 84.7% 375,741
Broome 51,929 63.1% 28,156 34.2% 2,216 2.7% 23,773 28.9% 82,301
Cattaraugus 15,297 51.9% 13,495 45.8% 655 2.2% 1,802 6.1% 29,447
Cayuga 19,796 61.9% 11,536 36.1% 667 2.0% 8,260 25.8% 31,999
Chautauqua 29,743 56.8% 21,614 41.3% 1,027 1.9% 8,129 15.5% 52,384
Chemung 18,775 54.5% 14,994 43.5% 698 2.0% 3,781 11.0% 34,467
Chenango 10,111 52.8% 8,463 44.2% 578 3.1% 1,648 8.6% 19,152
Clinton 18,955 62.0% 10,802 35.4% 799 2.6% 8,153 26.6% 30,556
Columbia 18,893 63.3% 10,101 33.8% 849 2.8% 8,792 29.5% 29,843
Cortland 11,857 60.9% 7,048 36.2% 551 2.8% 4,809 24.7% 19,456
Delaware 9,635 50.6% 8,932 46.9% 461 2.5% 703 3.7% 19,028
Dutchess 72,681 58.3% 48,959 39.3% 3,065 2.4% 23,722 19.0% 124,705
Erie 284,110 69.2% 118,072 28.8% 8,323 2.0% 166,038 40.4% 410,505
Essex 8,829 55.3% 6,577 41.2% 562 3.5% 2,252 14.1% 15,968
Franklin 9,640 59.5% 6,116 37.7% 453 2.7% 3,524 21.8% 16,209
Fulton 10,237 51.2% 9,357 46.8% 401 2.0% 880 4.4% 19,995
Genesee 12,343 49.0% 12,245 48.6% 601 2.3% 98 0.4% 25,189
Greene 10,823 51.1% 9,863 46.5% 505 2.4% 960 4.6% 21,191
Hamilton 1,444 47.0% 1,572 51.1% 58 1.8% −128 −4.1% 3,074
Herkimer 13,702 55.6% 10,376 42.1% 571 2.3% 3,326 13.5% 24,649
Jefferson 20,711 56.3% 15,245 41.5% 806 2.2% 5,466 14.8% 36,762
Kings 659,982 86.0% 83,820 10.9% 23,335 3.1% 576,162 75.1% 767,137
Lewis 5,492 51.0% 5,106 47.4% 181 1.7% 386 3.6% 10,779
Livingston 14,984 52.1% 13,090 45.5% 690 2.4% 1,894 6.6% 28,764
Madison 16,706 58.0% 11,363 39.4% 758 2.6% 5,343 18.6% 28,827
Monroe 226,493 67.0% 103,400 30.6% 8,049 2.4% 123,093 36.4% 337,942
Montgomery 10,357 57.2% 7,332 40.5% 432 2.4% 3,025 16.7% 18,121
Nassau 403,274 64.7% 210,823 33.8% 8,876 1.4% 192,451 30.9% 622,973
New York 553,432 86.4% 69,536 10.9% 17,755 2.8% 483,896 75.5% 640,723
Niagara 52,114 59.6% 33,662 38.5% 1,725 2.0% 18,452 21.1% 87,501
Oneida 51,245 59.5% 32,899 38.2% 1,973 2.3% 18,346 21.3% 86,117
Onondaga 143,126 69.9% 57,174 27.9% 4,597 2.2% 85,952 42.0% 204,897
Ontario 29,001 57.3% 20,344 40.2% 1,253 2.4% 8,657 17.1% 50,598
Orange 87,368 59.8% 55,727 38.1% 3,004 2.0% 31,641 21.7% 146,099
Orleans 7,099 45.6% 8,150 52.4% 305 1.9% −1,051 −6.8% 15,554
Oswego 26,172 56.8% 18,780 40.8% 1,107 2.4% 7,392 16.0% 46,059
Otsego 14,059 57.4% 9,758 39.9% 669 2.7% 4,301 17.5% 24,486
Putnam 24,635 53.4% 20,588 44.6% 920 2.0% 4,047 8.8% 46,143
Queens 541,334 82.7% 99,252 15.2% 14,262 2.2% 442,082 67.5% 654,848
Rensselaer 43,897 63.3% 23,577 34.0% 1,928 2.7% 20,320 29.3% 69,420
Richmond 108,147 62.3% 62,979 36.3% 2,593 1.5% 45,168 26.0% 173,719
Rockland 82,386 65.2% 41,894 33.2% 2,023 1.6% 40,492 32.0% 126,303
St. Lawrence 22,755 61.0% 13,633 36.6% 910 2.4% 9,122 24.6% 37,298
Saratoga 65,362 59.0% 42,709 38.6% 2,686 2.4% 22,653 20.4% 110,757
Schenectady 42,649 65.4% 20,985 32.2% 1,569 2.3% 21,664 33.2% 65,203
Schoharie 6,721 49.4% 6,606 48.5% 288 2.1% 115 0.9% 13,615
Schuyler 4,075 48.8% 4,026 48.2% 245 3.0% 49 0.4% 8,346
Seneca 7,746 57.4% 5,364 39.8% 379 2.7% 2,382 17.8% 13,489
Steuben 18,743 46.6% 20,638 51.3% 831 2.0% −1,895 −4.7% 40,212
Suffolk 390,754 60.1% 247,391 38.1% 11,864 1.8% 143,363 22.0% 650,009
Sullivan 16,770 59.7% 10,641 37.9% 658 2.3% 6,129 21.8% 28,069
Tioga 10,661 49.5% 10,345 48.0% 551 2.6% 316 1.5% 21,557
Tompkins 30,349 73.6% 8,815 21.4% 2,096 5.1% 21,534 52.2% 41,260
Ulster 52,598 64.6% 26,029 32.0% 2,764 3.3% 26,569 32.6% 81,391
Warren 17,885 59.5% 11,164 37.2% 986 3.3% 6,721 22.3% 30,035
Washington 13,246 55.8% 9,787 41.3% 693 2.9% 3,459 14.5% 23,726
Wayne 19,704 51.2% 17,929 46.6% 866 2.2% 1,775 4.6% 38,499
Westchester 287,893 71.4% 108,127 26.8% 7,161 1.7% 179,766 44.6% 403,181
Wyoming 7,756 46.0% 8,843 52.4% 280 1.6% −1,087 −6.4% 16,879
Yates 5,205 53.6% 4,297 44.2% 211 2.1% 908 9.4% 9,713
Totals 5,221,967 70.6% 2,009,380 27.2% 165,024 2.2% 3,212,587 43.4% 7,396,371

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Schumer won all 27 congressional districts, including nine that elected Republicans.[36]

District Schumer Long Representative
1st 58% 40% Lee Zeldin
2nd 61% 38% Peter T. King
3rd 64% 35% Steve Israel
Thomas Suozzi
4th 66% 32% Kathleen Rice
5th 90% 9% Gregory Meeks
6th 75% 22% Grace Meng
7th 88% 8% Nydia Velázquez
8th 89% 8% Hakeem Jeffries
9th 89% 9% Yvette Clarke
10th 82% 15% Jerry Nadler
11th 64% 34% Dan Donovan
12th 83% 14% Carolyn Maloney
13th 92% 5% Charles B. Rangel
Adriano Espaillat
14th 84% 14% Joe Crowley
15th 95% 4% Jose Serrano
16th 80% 19% Eliot Engel
17th 68% 30% Nita Lowey
18th 59% 39% Sean Patrick Maloney
19th 58% 39% John Faso
20th 68% 30% Paul Tonko
21st 57% 40% Elise Stefanik
22nd 59% 38% Richard L. Hanna
Claudia Tenney
23rd 56% 42% Tom Reed
24th 66% 32% John Katko
25th 68% 30% Louise Slaughter
26th 74% 23% Brian Higgins
27th 55% 43% Chris Collins

References

  1. ^ a b Emily Cahn; Alexis Levinson (January 28, 2015). “Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016”. Roll Call. Archived from the original on January 29, 2015. Retrieved January 29, 2015.
  2. ^ Tumulty, Brian (March 3, 2016). “Republican Wendy Long will run against Sen. Chuck Schumer”. Gannett News Service. Retrieved March 3, 2016.
  3. ^ Weiner, Mark (April 7, 2015). “U.S. Rep. Richard Hanna says he won’t run against Chuck Schumer in 2016 NY senate race”. Syracuse.com. Retrieved April 7, 2015.
  4. ^ Johnson, Eliana (June 24, 2015). “Larry Kudlow and NRSC Renew Discussions on Senate Run”. National Review. Retrieved June 25, 2015.
  5. ^ Burns, Alexander (September 22, 2015). “Larry Kudlow Weighs Run Against Senator Richard Blumenthal in Connecticut”. The New York Times. Retrieved October 1, 2015.
  6. ^ “Candidates 2016”. Libertarian Party of New York. Archived from the original on December 17, 2018. Retrieved December 19, 2018.
  7. ^ “Dr. Jill Stein Wins 89% of GPNY Presidential Convention Vote, Robin Laverne Wilson Rallies For US Senate”. Green Party of New York. June 12, 2016.
  8. ^ “Wendy Long works convention to boost long-shot Senate bid”. The Journal News.
  9. ^ Full debate
  10. ^ Campanile, Carl (September 29, 2015). “D’Amato endorses former opponent Schumer for re-election”. New York Post. Archived from the original on January 17, 2022. Retrieved January 17, 2022.
  11. ^ “Editorial endorsement: U.S. Sen. Charles Schumer for re-election in 2016”. Advance Media New York. October 21, 2016. Archived from the original on January 17, 2022. Retrieved January 17, 2022.
  12. ^ “2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016”. The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
  13. ^ “2016 Senate”. Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  14. ^ “2016 Senate Ratings”. Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
  15. ^ “Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version”. Daily Kos. Retrieved March 27, 2021.
  16. ^ “Battle for the Senate 2016”. Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
  17. ^ SurveyMonkey
  18. ^ SurveyMonkey
  19. ^ Siena College Archived June 3, 2017, at the Wayback Machine
  20. ^ SurveyMonkey
  21. ^ SurveyMonkey
  22. ^ SurveyMonkey
  23. ^ SurveyMonkey
  24. ^ Siena College Archived March 11, 2017, at the Wayback Machine
  25. ^ NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist
  26. ^ Siena College Archived January 31, 2017, at the Wayback Machine
  27. ^ Emerson College
  28. ^ Siena College
  29. ^ Quinnipiac University Archived August 15, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  30. ^ Siena College
  31. ^ Siena College Archived January 31, 2017, at the Wayback Machine
  32. ^ Siena College Archived March 3, 2017, at the Wayback Machine
  33. ^ Public Policy Polling
  34. ^ Quinnipiac University Archived August 15, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  35. ^ “New York State Official Election Night Results” (PDF). New York Board of Elections. Archived from the original (PDF) on February 27, 2021. Retrieved December 28, 2016.
  36. ^ “DRA 2020”. Daves Redistricting.

Official campaign websites